Image: pkmncards.com
Umbreon ex
SV: Prismatic Evolutions · 161/131 · Special Illustration Rare · released 2025 · tracking Holofoil
US Raw NM price, weekly (TCGplayer, USD)
Line: market price. Bars: NM copies sold that week. 52-week range $836 to $1,581; now 16% below the high; largest drop within the year 31%.
Why this score
| Blue-chip PokemonOne of the handful of Pokemon that carry the whole hobby's demand. | +12 |
| Tradeable291 NM copies sold in the last year. | 0 |
| Steady appreciationUp 31% over 12 months without an extreme spike. | +8 |
| Pullback in uptrend16% below its 52-week high while the yearly trend is up. | +4 |
| Late print windowReleased 21 months ago; reprints and restocks still possible. | -4 |
| Art cardAlternate-art / illustration rares are what modern collectors chase and keep. | +4 |
| Both markets fallingUS NM -7% in 4 weeks; Cardmarket EU sales -7% vs their 30-day average. | -3 |
| EU set demand fallingThe set's Cardmarket index is down 24% since 20 Jul 2026. | -2 |
| Base 50 + factors | 69 |
US USA · TCGplayer · raw NM · USD
| NM copies sold, 12 months | 291 |
| Open listings | 110 |
| Weekly volatility | 5.5% |
| NM Holofoil (tracked) | $1,323 291 sold |
EU Europe · Cardmarket · raw · EUR
| Trend price | €989 |
| Average sell price, 30 days | €1,075 |
| Average sell price, 7 days | €995 |
| 7-day vs 30-day average | -7% |
| Lowest listing any condition | €610 |
| Set index since 20 Jul 2026 | -24% |
Cardmarket price guide of 2026-10-04. Cardmarket does not split prices by condition, so these cover all raw copies; they are kept apart from the US Near Mint prices.
US vs Europe. The US raw NM price is 19% above the EU trend price converted at the ECB rate (1.1204 USD per EUR, 2026-10-05).
The card's whole set on Cardmarket: market-weighted trend-price index, 100 = 20 Jul 2026 (TCG Index Tracker).
Case study: Prismatic Evolutions: a launch-shortage peak, reprint waves, then a round trip
Prismatic Evolutions launched on 17 January 2025 and sold out within hours. Umbreon ex peaked around $1,500-1,600 raw in the US (Pokeitem), then lost 20-30% over the following months. Our series shows $1,011 in October 2025, a low of $836 in January 2026, a rebound to $1,581 in May 2026, and $1,323 today, still below the launch peak.
- Trigger: a launch shortage. The day before release The Pokemon Company said fans 'may experience difficulties purchasing' products and that it would print more 'at maximum capacity'. Dexerto reported $60 Elite Trainer Boxes listed near $600 and an ungraded Umbreon ex listed at $2,800 on eBay (asking prices, not sales).
- Reversal: Pokeitem attributes the fall to several reprint waves through 2025 that lowered prices across the set.
- Rebound: once the reprints were absorbed, the card's appeal (Umbreon, scarce SIR pull rate, popular artwork) pulled it back up in spring 2026. Why it fell again since June is unclear.
- Europe: confirms, and is weaker. Cardmarket's Prismatic Evolutions index (EUR) is -24% since 20 Jul 2026, against -12% for this card in US NM. Its Cardmarket 7-day average sell is 7.5% below the 30-day average.
Lesson. Shortage prices at launch are temporary when the publisher says it will reprint. Our data's best buying window came about a year after release, after the reprint waves.