Image: pkmncards.com
Mega Charizard X ex
ME02: Phantasmal Flames · 109/094 · Ultra Rare · released 2025 · tracking Holofoil
US Raw NM price, weekly (TCGplayer, USD)
Line: market price. Bars: NM copies sold that week. 52-week range $20.01 to $103; now 81% below the high; largest drop within the year 81%.
Why this score
| Blue-chip PokemonOne of the handful of Pokemon that carry the whole hobby's demand. | +12 |
| Very liquid8266 NM copies sold in the last year: easy to sell, but also plentiful. | 0 |
| DowntrendDown 81% over 12 months. | -6 |
| FadingDown 42% over 6 months. | -5 |
| Falling nowDown 34% in the last 3 months; wait for the price to settle. | -5 |
| Deep drawdownFell 81% from a high within the year. | -4 |
| Late print windowReleased 11 months ago; reprints and restocks still possible. | -4 |
| Europe buyingFalling in the US (-14%) while EU sales run +17% above their 30-day average. | +2 |
| EU set demand fallingThe set's Cardmarket index is down 27% since 20 Jul 2026. | -2 |
| Base 50 + factors | 38 |
US USA · TCGplayer · raw NM · USD
| NM copies sold, 12 months | 8266 |
| Open listings | 450 |
| Weekly volatility | 10.7% |
| NM Holofoil (tracked) | $20.01 8266 sold |
EU Europe · Cardmarket · raw · EUR
| Trend price | €27.29 |
| Average sell price, 30 days | €23.53 |
| Average sell price, 7 days | €27.46 |
| 7-day vs 30-day average | +17% |
| Lowest listing any condition | €11.90 |
| Set index since 20 Jul 2026 | -27% |
Cardmarket price guide of 2026-10-04. Cardmarket does not split prices by condition, so these cover all raw copies; they are kept apart from the US Near Mint prices.
US vs Europe. The US raw NM price is 35% below the EU trend price converted at the ECB rate (1.1204 USD per EUR, 2026-10-05). The card currently costs more in Europe.
The card's whole set on Cardmarket: market-weighted trend-price index, 100 = 20 Jul 2026 (TCG Index Tracker).
Case study: Mega Charizard X ex full art loses 81% from presale as an in-print set keeps supplying copies
In the week of 3 November 2025, before Phantasmal Flames released on 14 November, raw NM copies traded near $103. By late November the price was $43, it held around $33-39 through spring 2026, and it has slid to about $20. This is our most liquid faller: 8,267 NM copies sold in 52 weeks.
- Trigger: launch pricing. Presale and first-week buyers pay for scarcity that disappears once the set is on shelves. Bleeding Cool's value watch had the card at $39.88 in December 2025 and $35.58 in March 2026.
- Mechanism: this is an Ultra Rare, much easier to pull than the set's Special Illustration Rare (125/094) and Mega Hyper Rare (130/094), and the set is still in print. Each new wave of product adds copies while demand is spread across a stream of new Mega Evolution sets.
- In July 2026, TCGplayer's price-trends column described the Mega Evolution sets as a case of supply finally overtaking demand. Even the rarer 125/094 was falling then and has dropped further since.
- Europe: confirms. Cardmarket's Phantasmal Flames set index (EUR) is -27% since 20 Jul 2026, close to this card's -33% US NM drop over the same weeks. The card's Cardmarket 7-day average sell is 17% above its 30-day average, a small bounce that one snapshot cannot confirm.
Lesson. A famous Pokemon on a common-ish rarity in an in-print set is not scarce. Launch week is usually the most expensive time to buy, and the lower the rarity, the further the price tends to fall.