Image: pkmncards.com
Mega Gengar ex
ME: Ascended Heroes · 284/217 · Special Illustration Rare · released 2026 · tracking Holofoil
US Raw NM price, weekly (TCGplayer, USD)
Line: market price. Bars: NM copies sold that week. 52-week range $829 to $1,420; now 40% below the high; largest drop within the year 40%.
Why this score
| Blue-chip PokemonOne of the handful of Pokemon that carry the whole hobby's demand. | +12 |
| Liquid339 NM copies sold in the last year. | +2 |
| FadingDown 29% over 6 months. | -5 |
| Falling nowDown 37% in the last 3 months; wait for the price to settle. | -5 |
| Late print windowReleased 9 months ago; reprints and restocks still possible. | -4 |
| Both markets fallingUS NM -4% in 4 weeks; Cardmarket EU sales -11% vs their 30-day average. | -3 |
| Base 50 + factors | 47 |
US USA · TCGplayer · raw NM · USD
| NM copies sold, 12 months | 339 |
| Open listings | 142 |
| Weekly volatility | 5.7% |
| NM Holofoil (tracked) | $848 339 sold |
EU Europe · Cardmarket · raw · EUR
| Trend price | €894 |
| Average sell price, 30 days | €875 |
| Average sell price, 7 days | €783 |
| 7-day vs 30-day average | -11% |
| Lowest listing any condition | €398 |
| Set index since 20 Jul 2026 | +12% |
Cardmarket price guide of 2026-10-04. Cardmarket does not split prices by condition, so these cover all raw copies; they are kept apart from the US Near Mint prices.
US vs Europe. The US raw NM price is 15% below the EU trend price converted at the ECB rate (1.1204 USD per EUR, 2026-10-05).
The card's whole set on Cardmarket: market-weighted trend-price index, 100 = 20 Jul 2026 (TCG Index Tracker).
Case study: Ascended Heroes chase cards give back 40% after a spring spike
Ascended Heroes released on 30 January 2026. Mega Gengar ex SIR started near $975 and peaked at $1,420 in early May before falling to $848. The set's other big chase card, Pikachu ex 276/217 ('Treekachu'), went from $481 in late February to $1,399 in mid-May and is now $886.
- Trigger: speculative buying in the first months. Wargamer noted fans were 'shelling out enormous amounts' a couple of months after release and called the cards slightly over-hyped. Both peaked at about $1,300-1,400.
- Reversal: by late July TCGplayer reported that Mega Gengar sales had slowed sharply and Treekachu had retraced from $1,400. These were the two biggest decliners above $50 that week, and our data shows the slide continuing through September.
- Mechanism: the set remains in print, and later Mega Evolution sets keep competing for the same collectors' money. Once the early buyers are filled, sellers have to cut prices to find new buyers.
- Europe: mixed. Cardmarket's Ascended Heroes set index (EUR) is up 12% since 20 Jul 2026, while this card fell 33% in US NM. At card level Europe agrees with the US: its Cardmarket 7-day average sell is 10.5% below the 30-day average. The set is not falling in Europe, but its top chase card is cooling in both markets.
Lesson. A card that hits four figures within months of release is priced on hype while supply is still arriving. Wait for the post-launch print waves before paying up for in-print chase cards.